KyKurmudgeon

Here are a few of the better comments from speakers at the Kentucky Equine Education Project rally that drew about 1,000 to Keeneland’s sales pavillion Wednesday evening:

“We want to make it real clear, no question about it, do doubt, this fight ain’t over yet.” - Keeneland President Nick Nicholson.

“It really is like a Third World dictatorship. The only way to get rid of a dictatorship is through revolution, and the revolution starts here tonight.” - Former Gov. Brereton Jones, referring to the state Senate under President David Williams. Jones earlier had made a reference to a “third-rate dictator.”

“Elections matter. Who we have representing us in Frankfort matters. We cannot forget that people like (Sen.) Alice Forgy Kerr, who represents so many horse farms and Keeneland, voted no. My own state senator, Ernie Harris, who represents Jefferson County - home of Churchill Downs - and Oldham County with so many horse farms, also voted no.” Patrick Neely, executive director of KEEP.

“Would the senator from Scott stand up if he’s here?” - Senate Minority Leader Ed Worley, after the crowd saw a video of his Senate floor speech chastising Sen. Damon Thayor for criticising Gov. Steve Beshear for not helping the industry. In that floor speech, Worley invited his fellow senators, and Thayer in particular, to attend the KEEP rally. Thayer did not attend.

“(Sen.) Kathy Stein had her two dogs here. That was in case David Williams showed up. She was going to chase his sorry ass all the way home.” - Rep. Carl Rollins, standing in for House Speaker Greg Stumbo, who could not attend.

“We ended a special session today, but tonight is not an ending. It’s the beginning. It’s the beginning of a campaign that is not going to quit until we have done our job and we have saved this horse industry that is so beloved in our state. Yes, it’s a beginning tonight; and it’s time to make some changes. … We’ve got to do one of two things, and I’ll take either one of them. We’ve either got to change some of the senators’ minds, or we’ve got to change some of the senators.” - Gov. Beshear.

Around Frankfort Wednesday, there was talk that expanded gambling and Beshear were both on the ropes. No one who witnessed the revival-like atmosphere at the Wednesday night rally would agree.

Thursday’s column:

FRANKFORT — Slots Bill pulled up lame in mid-stretch of the special edition 2009 Legislative Derby. To that point, though, he ran a good race.

Good enough to keep Senate President David Williams playing defense throughout the trip — in the process causing some members of his caucus to cast votes that could come back to haunt a few of them.

Seven Republicans who voted to kneecap Ol’ Slots during Monday’s Senate Appropriations & Revenue Committee face re-election next year, assuming they choose to seek it. Sen. Bob Leeper, the Paducah Independent who caucuses with the Republicans and voted with them on this issue, also faces a 2010 race.

By voting against Slots Bill, six of the seven Republicans and Leeper deprived their districts of K-12 and post-secondary education projects approved by the House and scheduled to be funded with revenue generated by allowing Kentucky racetracks to compete slot machine for slot machine with “racinos” in other states.

The loss in Majority Floor Leader Dan Kelly’s district was minimal — a $1.87 million project in Mercer County. But other districts saw far more significant amounts of proposed spending disappear as a result of their senators’ no votes.

Leeper’s district, for instance, lost projects worth $9.7 million in Marshall County and $17 million in McCracken County.

Sen. Alice Forgy Kerr’s no vote helped deprive Fayette County of $7.4 million in school construction, the University of Kentucky of $136.6 million and the Bluegrass Community and Technical College of $1 million.

A&R Chairman Charlie Borders’ district took a big hit as a result of his vote: school construction worth $3.1 million in Bracken County, $18 million in Carter County, $19 million in Lewis County and $15.7 million in Robertson County. Maysville Community and Technical College lost a $5 million project as well.

Bullitt County, in Sen. Gary Tapp’s district, lost an $18.4 million project as a result of Slots Bill’s defeat. However, Tapp is not seeking re-election next year.

In the district of Sen. Ernie Harris, another no vote, Carroll County lost $2.2 million, Henry County lost $20 and Trimble County lost $10.5 million.

Sen. Brandon Smith also cast a no vote that helped keep his district from receiving school projects worth $4.1 million in Leslie County and $13.4 million in Perry County, plus a $15 million project for Hazard Community and Technical College.

Yes, all of these projects were “earmarks,” and I’m not fond of earmarks. In an ideal world, there would be no earmarks. All of Kentucky’s General Fund revenue would go into one big pool, and thoughtful decision-making would determine what the adequate funding levels of various needs and services should be.

But, pardon a couple of grammatical errors, the Kentucky General Assembly ain’t no ideal world — far from it. The political reality is that earmarks are the way things get done.

Even Williams, who ranted and railed about votes being bought for Slots Bill, has participated in decorating Christmas trees with project ornaments on multiple occasions in an attempt to entice lawmakers into passing legislation promoting his policy agenda.

A second part of that political reality is that lawmakers who vote down projects for their own districts sometimes have to answer for it, a truism proponents of expanded gambling must not forget.

House Speaker Greg Stumbo said this week this issue will not be resolved until the leadership of the Senate changes and the only way to change the Senate leadership is to change its membership.

But votes cast in June 2009 may be forgotten come November 2010.

So, proponents of expanded gambling need to help recruit credible candidates who can change the Senate membership. Then, they need to run Slots Bill right back at the Senate in early January and let the pressure from the horse industry and the education community back home in the Senate districts have plenty of time to build.

House members who supported Slots Bill have nothing to lose by doing so again. They’ve already got a pro-gambling vote on their record, a vote they can explain easily by saying they acted to save Kentucky’s signature industry and to improve school conditions for the state’s children.

But senators facing credible opposition in an election year who help kill projects in their own districts by voting against Slots Bill, either in committee or on the floor of the Senate, may have a tougher time convincing their constituents to send them back to Frankfort.

Who knows? Some of the senators facing the prospect of having to make that argument back home may even decide to help prove Stumbo wrong by rooting Slots Bill on to victory without a change in Senate leadership.

Conference committees trying to figure out if anything can be salvaged from the General Assembly’s special session haven’t made much progress yet. So, I’m pushing my midweek column, which usually appears on Wednesday, back a day this week to let things sort themselves out.

My best guess? A budget agreement could come without a lot of huffing and puffing. An economic incentives package may be doable. An agreement on mega-projects probably won’t happen. And Senate President David Williams’ bailout approach to helping the horse industry has no traction whatsoever with House Democrats, Gov. Steve Beshear or the industry itself.

A lack of agreement on mega-projects could be the end for the proposed Louisville bridges. Indiana has plenty of uses for the more than $1 billion it has set aside. And the offer of federal help for the Kentucky share of the project could lapse due to the General Assembly’s inability to get its act together on this issue.

UPDATE 4:55 P.M.: Agreement apparently reached on the budget, although the final document still needs to be prepared.

Sunday’s column:

FRANKFORT — Slots Bill completed the first half of the Legislative Derby Friday, albeit at a very slow 3:28:36 pace.

That’s 3 hours, 28 minutes and 36 seconds from the time debate began until the voting machine locked in the final 52-45 tally. It’s been a while since I’ve witnessed (endured?) a debate of that length — if ever.

Now, Ol’ Slots trots down to the west end of the Capitol’s third floor, where Senate President David Williams awaits with a rival pony — a tax-and-spend bailout for a racing industry that hasn’t asked for one and, indeed, doesn’t want one.

All this state’s signature industry has asked for or wants is the ability to compete on a level playing field with racino tracks in other states that use revenue from expanded gambling to enhance purses and breeding incentives and lure owners and trainers away from Kentucky. House Bill 2 would give them that ability. Williams’ plan would not.

At one point Friday, Williams proposed supplementing his bailout by adding a 10 percent tax on charitable gaming to the 10 percent tax on lottery sales and the tax on out-of-state wagering he previously suggested. That had me wondering if he was cracking a bit under pressure of knowing that his usual intimidation tactics were not paralyzing the House into inaction this time and that Slots Bill was headed his way.

One thing even his enemies credit Williams with is smarts. But proposing a tax that would bring members of booster clubs, certain church denominations, service organizations and charitable operations out in opposition by the tens of thousands has to be the dumbest political idea I’ve heard around the state Capitol in many years.

Surely, Williams knows some of his caucus members could not survive such a vote. The fact that he even raised the issue is an indication that he was desperately searching for a way to avoid dealing with Slots Bill.

Ultimately, the tax on charitable gaming was removed from Williams’ plan.

But another sign of Williams’ desperation in trying to find money for his bailout is the $7 million his plan would take from a health insurance fund for state workers. The bulk of that money, $6.5 million, would be loaned to Ellis Park in Henderson. Smaller loans would go to Thunder Ridge in Prestonsburg and the Red Mile in Lexington.

Oddly enough, Williams did not mention this particular detail in committee or on the floor of the Senate.

Slots Bill does not tax lottery sales, which almost certainly would reduce sales and, consequently, reduce funding for scholarships. Nor does Slots Bill rob state workers’ health insurance fund to loan money to racetracks. Its sole goal is to put Kentucky tracks in a competitive position with their counterparts in racino states.

Although its passage by the House Friday only gets it through the first half of the Legislative Derby, it was still a win of sorts for Gov. Steve Beshear, who campaigned on expanding gambling (admittedly, via constitutional amendment) but couldn’t get it to a House vote on his first try in 2008.

It also represented a win of sorts for House Speaker Greg Stumbo, who rose to that position in no small part because of the inability of a Democratic governor to have his top priority receive a floor vote in a Democratic-controlled House last year. Not only did Stumbo show Friday that he can deliver the vote for his party’s governor, he also proved once again that he is equal to the task of matching Williams’ legislative guile.

Word in the halls had it that, if the House passed the measure Friday, Williams would have the Senate Appropriations and Revenue Committee vote to kill it Friday afternoon. That would end the issue before his caucus members went home for the weekend, where they might be expected to feel pressure from school superintendents and higher education officials interested in the $1.3 billion in construction that could be funded by Slots Bill.

Stumbo’s solution: Pass Slots Bill on Friday, but don’t send him to the Senate until Monday.

Williams still vows to euthanize the poor fellow then, but Slots Bill at least gets to live through the weekend.

Sorry for the delay in posting Wednesday’s column. Thought I had set it to post automatically Wednesday morning. Guess not. But here it is now:

FRANKFORT - In and out of special session in five days. Two weeks minimum, maybe more.

Slots Bill, a veteran campaigner who has trained often for the Legislative Derby but has yet to leave the gate, doesn’t have the speed to sprint through the House. Slots Bill will breeze through the House with speed to spare, allowing some of his secret admirers to avoid risking a bet on him.

If Slots Bill gets through the House, he will fade fast in the Senate stretch. Slots Bill could have an easier time in the Senate than in the House.

As these contradictory comments suggest, if you can imagine it, it’s probably been uttered in the halls of state power the past couple of days. And generally speaking, you take it all with a healthy helping of that staple one company peddles with the aid of a girl, her umbrella and the slogan “When it rains, it pours.”

All except this:

If Gov. Steve Beshear, House Speaker Greg Stumbo and the horse industry (Ol’ Slots’ current trainer, jockey and owners) seriously want him to win this race, they better have him leading, or at least in a dead heat with Budget Reduction when the field makes the turn for home. Let Budget Reduction round the turn first, and the Senate might declare him a winner, distribute the purse and send its folks home before Slots appears before them.

If I were training or riding Slots, I would want him deep into the stretch before Budget Reduction enters it. That way, a Senate that acts with warp speed on a revised $9 billion General Fund budget would look a tad hypocritical if it tried to use lack of time as an excuse for not dealing with Ol’ Slots.

But if you see Slots Bill trailing Budget Reduction in the race to the Senate, you can draw one of two conclusions. His camp either has lost its will to win, or it has lost its collective horse sense.

Either would be unfortunate because the stars seem to align themselves better for Slots Bill this year than at any time in the past.

Recent events have clarified the gravity of the crisis facing Kentucky’s racing industry due to the competitive advantage racino tracks have in offering purses and breeding incentives. Those same events - shortened fields, canceled races and race dates - have built momentum for giving Kentucky tracks the tools to compete.

Attorney General Jack Conway’s opinion, issued Monday, concluding that enacting expanded gambling statutorily is constitutional improved Slots Bill’s chances a bit.

Permit me an aside here. To be honest, the longer Conway delayed releasing this opinion, the more I wondered if his U.S. Senate aspirations might have him looking for a way to dodge the issue. My bad.

His office produced a sound, reasoned opinion that took a strong stand on a controversial matter. And although he didn’t write the opinion himself, he will take the political hit for it.

He didn’t have to do so. He could have used his father’s involvement in racing and membership on the Kentucky Horse Racing Commission as an excuse to claim a conflict of interest and avoid the issue completely.

Instead, he sought advice from the Executive Branch Ethics Commission staff. And when John Steffen, the commission’s executive director, told him in a letter that any potential for conflict of interest was not “substantial or material,” Conway stepped up and did his job, despite the potential consequences for his Senate campaign. That moved him up the stature scale a bit.

Now, back to Slots Bill’s bid to win the Legislative Derby.

I thought Beshear missed an excellent opportunity to stress the urgency of the horse industry’s crisis during his address to a joint session of the General Assembly Monday night.

An alarm going off somewhere in the Capitol caused Beshear to hesitate a few moments before beginning his speech. What a great time to say, “Hear that. It’s a call to action in this emergency.”

Slots Bill heads to the floor of the House after winning a 19-9 vote in the Appropriations & Revenue Committee Thursday. Four Republicans - Reps. Scott Brinkman, Bob DeWeese, Jimmy Higdon and Lonnie Napier - joined 15 Democrats in supporting the measure. However, Higdon is an unlikely yes vote on the floor. That vote is expected to come Friday morning.

Democrats voting for Ol’ Slots were Reps. Royce Adams, John Arnold, Jesse Crenshaw, Mike Denham, Derrick Graham, Harry Moberly, Fred Nesler, Don Pasley, Sannie Overly, Arnold Simpson, Tommy Thompson, Robin Webb, Ron Weston, Brent Yonts and A&R Chairman Rick Rand. But Simpson made it clear he will vote against the bill on the floor. He favors full casinos and wants one in his downtown Covington district.

Republicans voting against Slots Bill were Reps. Dwight Butler, Jamie Comer, Danny Ford, Marie Rader, Charles Siler and Tommy Turner.

Democrats voting no were Reps. Keith Hall, Jimmie Lee and Jody Richards.

Rep. Jim Wayne, a Democrat, was absent. He previously has recused himself from this issue because of a conflict of interest involving Churchill Downs.

Conventional wisdom in Frankfort holds that voting for expanded gambling, slots, video lottery terminals or whatever name you give it represents a “tough” vote in a state with Kentucky’s conservative political leanings. But conventional wisdom could be wrong.

Patrick Neely, executive director of the Kentucky Equine Education Project, spent much of last weekend with his computer researching what happened to lawmakers who voted for expanded gambling in Kansas (2007) and Oklahoma (2004), which he describes as “extremely ‘red’ states dominated by social conservatives.” In that regard, the two states are similar to Kentucky. What Neely discovered surprised me, and probably will surprise others.

According to Neely’s research, a total of 167 lawmakers in Kansas and Oklahoma voted for expanded gambling. In the next election cycle after they cast those votes, just 17 of them drew primary opposition. Of that 17, only one lost in the primary - a Democratic Kansas senator whose opponent was endorsed by party leaders (including then-Gov. Kathleen Sebelius) because the incumbent sided with Republicans too often.

In the next general election, just 61 of the 167 lawmakers who voted for expanded gambling drew opposition. All but four of those 61 won re-election, most of them handily. At the same time four pro-gambling lawmakers were losing, three anti-gambling legislators got defeated. In other words, the impact of the expanded gambling on political careers in Kansas and Oklahoma was a virtual wash.

These results prompted Neely to conclude: “That there was absolutely no backlash in Kansas and Oklahoma reinforces what most polling has long told us - most voters, even socially conservative ones, do not base their votes on the gambling issue. … Based on this electoral evidence, it is safe to assume that there will be no political backlash against Kentucky legislators who support VLT’s at Kentucky racetracks.”

I wouldn’t go quite as far as Neely does in assuming the slots votes will produce no backlash in Kentucky. But the Kansas and Oklahoma experiences suggest that any impact will very minimal.

Attorney General Jack Conway issued an opinion Monday morning that said the General Assembly has the authority to approve racetrack slots statutorily. Bottom line of the opinion:

“In sum, it is the opinion of the attorney general that the General Assembly may authorize the Kentucky Lottery Corporation to operate video lottery terminals at designated horse racing tracks under Ky. Const. (Section) 226(1) without further amendment to the Kentucky Constitution.”

Sunday’s column:

FRANKFORT — For years, I argued that, although a constitutional amendment might not be legally necessary to expand gambling in Kentucky, it was the best political road to that end.

I also argued that a limited mix of racetrack-owned and independent land-based casinos with all the attendant bells and whistles was the best way for this state’s economy and government coffers to recapture the money Kentuckians have been wagering in neighboring states over the last 10 to 15 years, while at the same time helping Kentucky’s racing industry compete with racino-enhanced purses and breeding incentives offered by tracks in other states.

A casino with a hotel, golf course, restaurants and shows featuring name entertainers equals a destination resort. Slots at racetracks equal, uh, slots at racetracks. Such was my thinking.

Then came 2009 and a succession of short race fields, canceled races and canceled racing dates that signal an impending implosion of the state’s traditional year-round racing circuit.

So, in 2009, with the cracks in the racing industry’s foundation widening at a scary rate and with Ellis Park and Turfway Park threatened with closure before the long amendment route to expanded gambling can be completed, I became a believer in statutory approval of racetrack slots.

If it happens, I hope it will be just a first step toward passage of an amendment authorizing full casinos. But if it isn’t, so be it. I’m willing to settle for second best if it means saving Kentucky’s $4 billion signature industry and the more than 100,000 jobs it provides.

I am convinced the industry faces a tipping point today, and that waiting until November 2010 (the earliest Kentuckians could act on an amendment) is not a viable option for saving racing as we have known it in the Bluegrass State.

We’ve known this day was coming for some time. With tracks in 11 out of 12 competing states now enhancing purses and breeding incentives with revenue from expanded gambling, it was inevitable. Still, the events of 2009 have shocked even those in the industry.

“I will be the first to admit that the effect on Kentucky’s racing circuit has been quicker and far more dramatic than we initially thought,” Keeneland President Nick Nicholson said last week. “There is no doubt in my mind that, if we do nothing, a year-round Kentucky racing circuit over the next 18 months will cease to exist.”

If that happens, if large gaps appear in the year-round circuit, the small and medium-sized operations that fill Kentucky’s race cards on a daily basis will leave. Some of them already have because of the bigger purses to be found elsewhere.

Most of the canceled races and race dates of 2009 can be attributed to the disparity of purses between Kentucky tracks and those that benefit from casino gambling.

At Tuesday’s Kentucky Horse Racing Commission meeting, Burr Travis Jr. told his fellow commission members of a day last year when he had a horse eligible for a race at Turfway and for a similarly classed race in Pennsylvania.
“The purse at Turfway was $22,000,” Travis said. “The purse in Pennsylvania was $77,000. … We went to Pennsylvania.”

Who wouldn’t?

At that same meeting, commission member and trainer John Ward spoke to the other part of the double whammy facing Kentucky racing — the enhanced breeding incentives the racino states are offering.

“This has been spun as being a racetrack purse bill,” Ward said of Gov. Steve Beshear’s slots proposal. “… This is about the breeding business in Kentucky. Without this, our Kentucky breeding industry is getting ready to be at the bottom of the list.”

Noting that other states are taking “mares away from us, stallions away from us,” Ward added, “This (slots legislation) is a way to save (Kentucky’s breeding industry) and bring it back to where it used to be, at the top of the world.”

So, yes, in 2009, I’ve changed my position on expanded gambling. I’m a convert to the idea of statutory approval of racetrack slots because Kentucky needs to keep its $4 billion signature industry at the top of the world. And that may not be possible if we wait any longer to give it the tools it needs to remain competitive.

As Keeneland’s Nicholson noted, “While it would be nice to wait for a constitutional amendment in 2010 or 2012, the undeniable reality is, if we do that, the existing Kentucky racing circuit will be lost and the prospect of rebuilding one will be slim.”

So, bring on the slots now. And we’ll talk later about recapturing the rest of the gambling and entertainment dollars Kentuckians are spending at destination casinos in other states.

Latest word from Attorney General Jack Conway’s office is that an opinion on whether the legislature can approve racetrack slots without a constitutional amendment will not be ready Thursday or Friday. The General Assembly convenes Monday for a special session to consider, among other things, Gov. Steve Beshear’s proposal to authorize racetrack slots by statute.