Sunday’s column:
When politicians can’t run on their record, they tend to run against something or someone.
So it is that Gov. Ernie Fletcher wants to make this fall’s gubernatorial election a referendum on casino gambling with a little gay-bashing thrown in for good measure.
As an incumbent who barely won 50 percent of the vote in his party’s primary and whose approval rating hasn’t reached 40 percent for more than two years, Fletcher desperately needs voters to focus on anything but his record if he hopes to have any chance of re-election.
When a governor has been indicted along with more than two dozen of his aides and friends, has issued a blanket pardon covering everyone but himself, has taken advantage of his Fifth Amendment rights in front of a special grand jury and has cut a deal with prosecutors to get the charges against him dropped, the last thing he wants voters to think about is his record.
Such a governor has to keep the spotlight pointed in another direction, which explains why Fletcher recently changed his position on expanded gambling and health benefits for domestic partners of university employees and is trying to make those two issues the focus of the campaign.
It’s an attempt to rally his ultra-right Republican base and appeal to conservative Democrats, particularly in Western Kentucky.
(Indeed, Western Kentucky is the critical area of the state for Fletcher. If he can’t pick up tons of Democratic votes there, his campaign is doomed.
(That’s why an energy bill he virtually ignored during this year’s regular General Assembly session became the state’s most urgent need once the primary was behind him. Its passage could give him a boost in the Western Kentucky coalfields.)
Former Lt. Gov. Steve Beshear, who parlayed his support for expanded gambling into a win in the Democratic primary, can’t afford to let the general election become a straight up-and-down vote on casinos and domestic-partner benefits.
Sure, polls generally show that a majority of Kentuckians favor expanded gambling. And health insurance doesn’t stir anti-gay passions the way same-sex marriage did in 2004. Monday’s rather tepid Capitol Rotunda rally against domestic-partner benefits proved that.
But the combination of the two issues poses a danger to Beshear if he lets them define this gubernatorial race.
Beshear needs to make this election a referendum on Fletcher, and not just because of the hiring investigation. For Beshear, it needs to be a referendum on the totality of Fletcher’s record.
On his ineffectiveness in dealing with the legislature.
On his mishandling of changes in the state health-insurance plan, which nearly caused a teachers’ strike.
On his “revenue neutral” tax tinkerization plan that proved to be a tax increase, forcing lawmakers into a “do over” a year later.
On the structurally imbalanced budgets that added more than $4 billion to the state debt during Fletcher’s term.
On the waste, fraud and abuse perpetrated on the state by a governor who campaigned on a promise to eliminate waste, fraud and abuse.
On the retreat from education reform at all levels that has occurred on Fletcher’s watch.
On the ineptitude his appointees displayed in bungling the search for a new education commissioner.
Even on the firing of state park workers who dared to have visible tattoos and loose shirttails while mowing grass and cleaning toilets.
If Beshear can keep voters focused on Fletcher’s record of failed leadership while building a positive case that he can do better, he will probably win.
But if he lets Fletcher turn this election into a referendum on expanded gambling and domestic-partner benefits, well, whenever you gamble, there’s always a chance you can lose.